Tuesday 18 February 2014

prepareing for the final hustling

on 17/02/2014 loksabha passed the interim budget pending elections to the loksabha. this is routine exercise with limited powers and the event went off without any controversy. both the opposition and the government are on level playing fields now. political parties will have enough time to finalize their candidates for the seats they intend to contest. since elections are likely to be contested mostly on pre election  alliances multiple parleys for alliances will be held among likely partners. the combinations are likely on the basis of win ability rather than issue based.


India to some extent has accepted the issue of governance as one of the most important points for debate during electioneering .In India if a party or combination of pre election partners repeat  electoral performance it is construed as an endorsement of   the initiative taken by the party and the people have given them another opportunity to  continue their mission. on this count the states of Jammu Kashmir, Punjab, Rajstan,Gujrat, Goa, Madhya pradesh,chhatisgarh,kerala, Tamilnadu.Orissa,westbengal,Assam Meghalaya,tripura, Nagaland,Manipur,Mizoram,Arunachala Pradesh, and himachal Pradesh are likely to vote for the ruling parties in the respective states. Maharastra  for bad governance, Andhra Pradesh due to central interference to divide the state without a consensus among  interest groups, Bihar due to split in the ruling combination and paswan factor,Uttarpradesh,uttarakhand and Jharkhand due to resurgence of BJP, Karnataka due to realignment of political forces, Haryana due to recent elections of neighbors and Delhi due presidents' rule are likely to vote for parties other than the parties in power in the respective states.
A pre election alliance of eleven political parties namely the four leftist parties, the united janata dal the all india anna dravid munetra kazagam ,the biju janata dal,janata dal(s),the samajbadi paty,assam gana parisad was formed on25th feb. political outfits like the bahujan samaj party, the trinamula congress,the aam adami party,are away from any combination.
the Lok jan party headed by ram vilas paswan has become an ally of BJP (the lok jan party did not have any representation in the out going lok sabha) and to that extent it has affected bihar politics seriously.It is also an indication of somewhat confusion in sonia gandhi's camp or their failure to manipulate electoral combinations. This is the first incident after ramlila maidan-baba ram dev crush through police power that a dalit has decided to be in the camp of sonia gandhi's maut ka soudagar.Anna hazare like binoba babhe is observing his MOUN on many issues facing the nation and compigning for another sonia gandhi proxy mamta banerjee and helping her keep india divided and increasing the competitor for sonia gandhi's nominee prime minister.  

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